AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Apr 26, 2025

Bolton

Home
VS
14:00

Gateshead

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Bolton Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Gateshead Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.13 - 1.16
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.2
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Gateshead Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Bolton Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Bolton vs Birmingham 1-2
Apr 21 Bolton vs Lincoln 4-2
Apr 21 Bolton vs Solihull … 3-2
Apr 21 Bolton vs Bristol C… 3-1
Apr 18 Bolton vs Exeter Ci… 0-0
Apr 18 Bolton vs Wycombe 0-2
Apr 18 Bolton vs Wealdstone 2-0
Apr 18 Bolton vs Derby 0-1
Apr 12 Bolton vs Burnley 4-1
Apr 12 Bolton vs Huddersfi… 3-0
Gateshead Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Gateshead vs Hartlepool 3-2
Apr 18 Gateshead vs York 1-3
Apr 12 Gateshead vs Forest Gr… 2-3
Mar 22 Gateshead vs Tamworth 0-2
Mar 18 Gateshead vs Braintree 1-3
Mar 04 Gateshead vs Rochdale 1-0
Feb 25 Gateshead vs Eastleigh 1-1
Feb 18 Gateshead vs Southampt… 4-3
Feb 08 Gateshead vs Wealdstone 0-4
Jan 14 Gateshead vs FC Halifa… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bolton struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Gateshead struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bolton to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bolton Power 39
Gateshead Power 21
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.