AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Apr 16, 2024

Rochdale

Home
VS
18:45

Boreham Wood

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Rochdale Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Boreham Wood Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.38 - 1.22
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rochdale Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Boreham Wood Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Rochdale Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 Rochdale vs Dorking W… 1-1
Apr 01 Rochdale vs Hartlepool 1-1
Mar 29 Rochdale vs Gateshead 1-0
Mar 16 Rochdale vs Eastleigh 1-4
Feb 17 Rochdale vs Solihull … 1-2
Feb 10 Rochdale vs Altrincham 3-0
Jan 27 Rochdale vs Aldershot… 3-1
Dec 16 Rochdale vs York 0-0
Dec 12 Rochdale vs Gateshead 1-5
Nov 21 Rochdale vs Altrincham 3-0
Boreham Wood Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 Boreham W… vs Aldershot… 0-3
Apr 06 Boreham W… vs Wealdstone 4-0
Mar 16 Boreham W… vs Altrincham 0-1
Mar 12 Boreham W… vs Solihull … 2-0
Mar 09 Boreham W… vs FC Halifa… 2-1
Mar 02 Boreham W… vs Gateshead 1-1
Jan 07 Boreham W… vs York 1-1
Oct 21 Boreham W… vs Wealdstone 1-1
Sep 19 Boreham W… vs Rochdale 1-1
Sep 09 Boreham W… vs York 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Boreham Wood struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 19, 2023 Boreham Wood 1 - 1 Rochdale National League
Final Verdict

PRO: Rochdale to win (71% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 71% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rochdale Power 49
Boreham Wood Power 43
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Rochdale Position

+5

Position Gap

6

Boreham Wood Position
Home Win Rate: 85%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.