AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga May 18, 2025

Atlético Madrid

Home
VS
17:00

Real Betis

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Atlético Madrid Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Real Betis Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 75%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 3.66 - 1.01
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 1.0
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Madrid Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Real Betis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Atlético Madrid Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 15 Atlético … vs Osasuna 2-0
May 10 Atlético … vs Real Soci… 4-0
May 03 Atlético … vs Alavés 0-0
Apr 02 Atlético … vs FC Barcel… 0-1
Mar 16 Atlético … vs FC Barcel… 2-4
Mar 12 Atlético … vs Real Madr… 1-0
Mar 04 Atlético … vs Real Madr… 2-1
Mar 01 Atlético … vs Athletic … 1-0
Feb 25 Atlético … vs FC Barcel… 4-4
Feb 22 Atlético … vs Valencia 0-3
Real Betis Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 15 Real Betis vs Valencia 2-2
May 15 Real Betis vs Rayo Vall… 2-2
May 11 Real Betis vs Osasuna 1-1
May 11 Real Betis vs Barcelona… 0-9
May 04 Real Betis vs Espanyol 1-2
May 03 Real Betis vs Granadill… 2-0
Apr 27 Real Betis vs Sevilla F… 1-1
Apr 24 Real Betis vs Valladolid 5-1
Apr 21 Real Betis vs Girona 1-3
Apr 20 Real Betis vs Real Madr… 5-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AtlĂ©tico Madrid struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 27, 2024 Real Betis 1 - 0 Atlético Madrid La Liga
Mar 03, 2024 Atlético Madrid 2 - 1 Real Betis La Liga
Aug 20, 2023 Real Betis 0 - 0 Atlético Madrid La Liga
Apr 02, 2023 Atlético Madrid 1 - 0 Real Betis La Liga
Oct 23, 2022 Real Betis 1 - 2 Atlético Madrid La Liga
Mar 06, 2022 Real Betis 1 - 3 Atlético Madrid La Liga
Oct 31, 2021 Atlético Madrid 3 - 0 Real Betis La Liga
Apr 11, 2021 Real Betis 1 - 1 Atlético Madrid La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atlético Madrid to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Madrid Power 45
Real Betis Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Atlético Madrid Position

+2

Position Gap

5

Real Betis Position
Home Win Rate: 91%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.