AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga May 11, 2025

FC Barcelona

Home
VS
14:15

Real Madrid

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
FC Barcelona Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Real Madrid Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.99 - 0.91
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.9
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Barcelona Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Real Madrid Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
FC Barcelona Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 06 FC Barcel… vs Inter 4-3
May 04 FC Barcel… vs Cuniburo 2-1
May 03 FC Barcel… vs Valladolid 1-2
Apr 30 FC Barcel… vs Inter 3-3
Apr 27 FC Barcel… vs Macará 0-1
Apr 26 FC Barcel… vs Real Madr… 3-2
Apr 19 FC Barcel… vs El Nacion… 1-0
Apr 19 FC Barcel… vs Celta de … 4-3
Apr 19 FC Barcel… vs Celta 4-3
Apr 15 FC Barcel… vs Borussia … 3-1
Real Madrid Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 Real Madr… vs Real Soci… 4-0
May 04 Real Madr… vs Celta 3-2
May 04 Real Madr… vs Celta de … 3-2
May 03 Real Madr… vs Alavés 0-0
Apr 26 Real Madr… vs FC Barcel… 3-2
Apr 24 Real Madr… vs Valencia 3-0
Apr 23 Real Madr… vs Getafe 0-1
Apr 20 Real Madr… vs Athletic … 1-0
Apr 20 Real Madr… vs Ath Bilbao 1-0
Apr 19 Real Madr… vs Las Palmas 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Barcelona in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Real Madrid in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 26, 2025 FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Real Madrid Copa del Rey
Mar 16, 2025 Real Madrid 2 - 4 FC Barcelona La Liga
Jan 12, 2025 Real Madrid 2 - 5 FC Barcelona Super Cup
Dec 21, 2024 FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid Pro League
Oct 26, 2024 Real Madrid 0 - 4 FC Barcelona Pro League
Apr 21, 2024 Real Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona Pro League
Mar 17, 2024 Real Madrid 0 - 3 FC Barcelona Pro League
Jan 14, 2024 Real Madrid 4 - 1 FC Barcelona Super Cup
Dec 03, 2023 FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Real Madrid Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Madrid to win (57% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-2 57% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Barcelona Power 0
Real Madrid Power 49
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.