AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Segunda División May 09, 2025

Cadiz

Home
VS
18:30

Almería

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Cadiz Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Almería Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.68 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cadiz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Almería Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (15%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Cadiz Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 02 Cadiz vs Cordoba 4-2
Apr 25 Cadiz vs Sporting … 1-0
Apr 25 Cadiz vs Sp Gijon 1-0
Apr 19 Cadiz vs Burgos 2-2
Apr 12 Cadiz vs Elche 0-1
Apr 06 Cadiz vs La Coruna 1-0
Apr 06 Cadiz vs Deportivo… 1-0
Mar 31 Cadiz vs Eibar 0-0
Mar 23 Cadiz vs Tenerife 2-1
Mar 16 Cadiz vs Granada 1-0
Almería Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 Almería vs Eldense 5-0
Apr 29 Almería vs Ferrol 2-1
Apr 18 Almería vs Castellón 4-1
Apr 13 Almería vs Cartagena 2-1
Apr 05 Almería vs Granada 3-1
Mar 29 Almería vs Levante 1-0
Mar 21 Almería vs Burgos 3-1
Mar 15 Almería vs Zaragoza 4-1
Mar 07 Almería vs Eibar 1-0
Mar 01 Almería vs Malaga 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Almería in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 22, 2024 Almería 1 - 1 Cadiz Pro League
Dec 22, 2024 Almería 1 - 1 Cadiz Segunda Divisi…
May 25, 2024 Almería 6 - 1 Cadiz La Liga
May 25, 2024 Almería 6 - 1 Cadiz Pro League
Aug 26, 2023 Cadiz 1 - 1 Almería La Liga
Mar 18, 2023 Almería 1 - 1 Cadiz La Liga
Dec 30, 2022 Cadiz 1 - 1 Almería La Liga
Aug 01, 2021 Cadiz 1 - 2 Almería Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cadiz Power 35
Almería Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Cadiz Position

-7

Position Gap

4

Almería Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.