AI Match Insights
Bundesliga May 03, 2025
Borussia Dortmund
HomeVS
16:30
VfL Wolfsburg
AwayAI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
Borussia Dortmund Win
Draw
VfL Wolfsburg Win
Home Win
(67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
88%
Market
50%
Combined: 68%
Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.38 - 0.91
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.9
Position gap: 12 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Borussia Dortmund Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
VfL Wolfsburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1-0 (5%)
1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
Borussia Dortmund Form 18.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26 | Borussia … vs 1899 Hoff… | 2-3 |
| Apr 20 | Borussia … vs M'gladbach | 3-2 |
| Apr 20 | Borussia … vs Borussia … | 3-2 |
| Apr 15 | Borussia … vs FC Barcel… | 3-1 |
| Apr 12 | Borussia … vs Bayern Mu… | 2-2 |
| Apr 09 | Borussia … vs FC Barcel… | 4-0 |
| Apr 05 | Borussia … vs SC Freibu… | 1-4 |
| Mar 30 | Borussia … vs Mainz | 3-1 |
| Mar 15 | Borussia … vs RB Leipzig | 2-0 |
| Mar 12 | Borussia … vs Lille | 1-2 |
VfL Wolfsburg Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26 | VfL Wolfs… vs SC Freibu… | 0-1 |
| Apr 19 | VfL Wolfs… vs Mainz | 2-2 |
| Apr 19 | VfL Wolfs… vs FSV Mainz… | 2-2 |
| Apr 11 | VfL Wolfs… vs RB Leipzig | 2-3 |
| Apr 06 | VfL Wolfs… vs Union Ber… | 1-0 |
| Mar 29 | VfL Wolfs… vs FC Heiden… | 0-1 |
| Mar 29 | VfL Wolfs… vs 1899 Hoff… | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | VfL Wolfs… vs FC Augsbu… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | VfL Wolfs… vs FC St. Pa… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | VfL Wolfs… vs Werder Br… | 1-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Borussia Dortmund in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
- VfL Wolfsburg struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 - 3 | Borussia Dortmund | Pro League |
| Dec 22, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 - 3 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| Oct 29, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 - 0 | Borussia Dortmund | DFB Pokal |
| Feb 17, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 - 1 | Borussia Dortmund | Pro League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 - 1 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 - 0 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| May 07, 2023 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 - 0 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| Nov 08, 2022 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 - 0 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 - 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| Nov 27, 2021 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 - 3 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
Final Verdict
MASTER: Borussia Dortmund to win (75% confidence)
MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0
75% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Borussia Dortmund Power
47
VfL Wolfsburg Power
35
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Borussia Dortmund Position+12
Position Gap14
VfL Wolfsburg Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.