AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga May 03, 2025

FC St. Pauli

Home
VS
13:30

VfB Stuttgart

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
FC St. Pauli Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
VfB Stuttgart Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.13 - 1.26
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC St. Pauli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
VfB Stuttgart Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 0-0 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
FC St. Pauli Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 FC St. Pa… vs Werder Br… 0-0
Apr 20 FC St. Pa… vs Bayer Lev… 1-1
Apr 12 FC St. Pa… vs Holstein … 1-2
Apr 06 FC St. Pa… vs Borussia … 1-1
Apr 06 FC St. Pa… vs M'gladbach 1-1
Mar 29 FC St. Pa… vs Bayern Mu… 3-2
Mar 14 FC St. Pa… vs 1899 Hoff… 1-0
Mar 08 FC St. Pa… vs VfL Wolfs… 1-1
Mar 01 FC St. Pa… vs Borussia … 0-2
Feb 22 FC St. Pa… vs Mainz 2-0
VfB Stuttgart Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 25 VfB Stutt… vs 1899 Hoff… 0-1
Apr 25 VfB Stutt… vs FC Heiden… 0-1
Apr 19 VfB Stutt… vs Union Ber… 4-4
Apr 13 VfB Stutt… vs Werder Br… 1-2
Apr 05 VfB Stutt… vs VfL Bochum 0-4
Apr 02 VfB Stutt… vs RB Leipzig 3-1
Mar 29 VfB Stutt… vs Eintracht… 1-0
Mar 16 VfB Stutt… vs Bayer Lev… 3-4
Mar 08 VfB Stutt… vs Holstein … 2-2
Feb 28 VfB Stutt… vs Bayern Mu… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • VfB Stuttgart struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 21, 2024 VfB Stuttgart 0 - 1 FC St. Pauli Pro League
Dec 21, 2024 VfB Stuttgart 0 - 1 FC St. Pauli Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC St. Pauli Power 35
VfB Stuttgart Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

FC St. Pauli Position

-13

Position Gap

4

VfB Stuttgart Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.