AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Apr 20, 2025

FC St. Pauli

Home
VS
17:30

Bayer Leverkusen

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
FC St. Pauli Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Bayer Leverkusen Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.72 - 1.01
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC St. Pauli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Bayer Leverkusen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (18%) 0-0 (18%) 1-1 (13%) 1-0 (13%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Under 2.5 Goals 75%
FC St. Pauli Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 12 FC St. Pa… vs Holstein … 1-2
Apr 06 FC St. Pa… vs Borussia … 1-1
Apr 06 FC St. Pa… vs M'gladbach 1-1
Mar 29 FC St. Pa… vs Bayern Mu… 3-2
Mar 14 FC St. Pa… vs 1899 Hoff… 1-0
Mar 08 FC St. Pa… vs VfL Wolfs… 1-1
Mar 01 FC St. Pa… vs Borussia … 0-2
Feb 22 FC St. Pa… vs Mainz 2-0
Feb 15 FC St. Pa… vs SC Freibu… 0-1
Feb 09 FC St. Pa… vs RB Leipzig 2-0
Bayer Leverkusen Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 12 Bayer Lev… vs Union Ber… 0-0
Apr 05 Bayer Lev… vs 1899 Hoff… 0-1
Apr 01 Bayer Lev… vs Arminia B… 2-1
Mar 28 Bayer Lev… vs VfL Bochum 3-1
Mar 16 Bayer Lev… vs VfB Stutt… 3-4
Mar 11 Bayer Lev… vs Bayern Mu… 0-2
Mar 08 Bayer Lev… vs Werder Br… 0-2
Mar 05 Bayer Lev… vs Bayern Mu… 3-0
Mar 01 Bayer Lev… vs Eintracht… 1-4
Feb 22 Bayer Lev… vs Holstein … 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bayer Leverkusen in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 07, 2024 Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 1 FC St. Pauli Bundesliga
Dec 07, 2024 Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 1 FC St. Pauli Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC St. Pauli Power 35
Bayer Leverkusen Power 42
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

FC St. Pauli Position

-11

Position Gap

6

Bayer Leverkusen Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 56%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.