AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
3. Liga May 17, 2025

Energie Cottbus

Home
VS
11:30

FC Ingolstadt 04

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Energie Cottbus Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
FC Ingolstadt 04 Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 1.78 - 0.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.3 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Energie Cottbus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
FC Ingolstadt 04 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
75%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (13%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Energie Cottbus Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 Energie C… vs Hansa Ros… 1-3
May 04 Energie C… vs Waldhof M… 2-4
Apr 26 Energie C… vs SpVgg Unt… 1-1
Apr 19 Energie C… vs FC Viktor… 1-0
Mar 08 Energie C… vs FC Saarbr… 2-1
Feb 08 Energie C… vs SV Wehen 2-1
Dec 20 Energie C… vs FC Ingols… 1-1
Nov 22 Energie C… vs FC Viktor… 0-1
Sep 28 Energie C… vs FC Saarbr… 4-1
Sep 01 Energie C… vs SV Wehen 2-1
FC Ingolstadt 04 Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 FC Ingols… vs SV Wehen 2-3
May 04 FC Ingols… vs Erzgebirg… 1-0
Apr 27 FC Ingols… vs Arminia B… 0-3
Apr 19 FC Ingols… vs VfL Osnab… 1-0
Mar 08 FC Ingols… vs Hansa Ros… 2-0
Mar 02 FC Ingols… vs Borussia … 1-1
Feb 15 FC Ingols… vs Stuttgart… 1-1
Feb 08 FC Ingols… vs TSV 1860 … 1-1
Jan 19 FC Ingols… vs Waldhof M… 0-0
Dec 20 FC Ingols… vs Energie C… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Ingolstadt 04 struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 20, 2024 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 - 1 Energie Cottbus 3. Liga
Final Verdict

PRO: Energie Cottbus to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 3-2 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Energie Cottbus Power 35
FC Ingolstadt 04 Power 49
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Energie Cottbus Position

+9

Position Gap

10

FC Ingolstadt 04 Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.