AI Match Insights

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DFB Pokal Oct 29, 2024

VfL Wolfsburg

Home
VS
19:45

Borussia Dortmund

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
VfL Wolfsburg Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Borussia Dortmund Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.95 - 1.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 1.8
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
VfL Wolfsburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Borussia Dortmund Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 2-2 (4%) 3-0 (3%) 3-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
VfL Wolfsburg Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 VfL Wolfs… vs FC St. Pa… 0-0
Oct 26 VfL Wolfs… vs FC St. Pa… 0-0
Oct 20 VfL Wolfs… vs Werder Br… 2-4
Oct 20 VfL Wolfs… vs Werder Br… 2-4
Oct 05 VfL Wolfs… vs VfL Bochum 1-3
Sep 28 VfL Wolfs… vs VfB Stutt… 2-2
Sep 22 VfL Wolfs… vs Bayer Lev… 4-3
Sep 22 VfL Wolfs… vs Bayer Lev… 4-3
Sep 14 VfL Wolfs… vs Eintracht… 1-2
Aug 31 VfL Wolfs… vs Holstein … 0-2
Borussia Dortmund Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 Borussia … vs FC Augsbu… 2-1
Oct 18 Borussia … vs FC St. Pa… 2-1
Oct 18 Borussia … vs FC St. Pa… 2-1
Oct 05 Borussia … vs Union Ber… 2-1
Oct 05 Borussia … vs Union Ber… 2-1
Sep 27 Borussia … vs VfL Bochum 4-2
Sep 22 Borussia … vs VfB Stutt… 5-1
Sep 22 Borussia … vs VfB Stutt… 5-1
Sep 13 Borussia … vs 1899 Hoff… 4-2
Sep 13 Borussia … vs FC Heiden… 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Borussia Dortmund struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 17, 2024 VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 1 Borussia Dortmund Pro League
Feb 17, 2024 VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 1 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
Sep 23, 2023 Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
May 07, 2023 Borussia Dortmund 6 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
Nov 08, 2022 VfL Wolfsburg 2 - 0 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
Apr 16, 2022 Borussia Dortmund 6 - 1 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
Nov 27, 2021 VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 3 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: VfL Wolfsburg to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
VfL Wolfsburg Power 35
Borussia Dortmund Power 47
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.