AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Frauen Bundesliga Apr 27, 2025

Bayern Munich Women

Home
VS
12:00

SC Freiburg Women

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Bayern Munich Women Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
SC Freiburg Women Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.01 - 0.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.3 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bayern Munich Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
SC Freiburg Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 0-0 (26%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Under 2.5 Goals 84%
Bayern Munich Women Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 12 Bayern Mu… vs Eintracht… 0-3
Mar 30 Bayern Mu… vs Bayer Lev… 2-0
Mar 14 Bayern Mu… vs VfL Wolfs… 3-1
Mar 09 Bayern Mu… vs FC Köln W… 0-3
Feb 16 Bayern Mu… vs Werder Br… 1-0
Feb 12 Bayern Mu… vs Eintracht… 4-1
Feb 02 Bayern Mu… vs RB Leipzi… 0-1
Dec 18 Bayern Mu… vs Arsenal W… 3-2
Nov 24 Bayern Mu… vs SC Freibu… 1-2
Nov 21 Bayern Mu… vs Vålerenga… 1-1
SC Freiburg Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 SC Freibu… vs VfL Wolfs… 1-1
Mar 30 SC Freibu… vs RB Leipzi… 1-1
Mar 17 SC Freibu… vs Eintracht… 3-2
Mar 08 SC Freibu… vs Turbine P… 0-1
Mar 05 SC Freibu… vs Carl Zeis… 0-2
Feb 15 SC Freibu… vs FC Köln W… 2-0
Feb 02 SC Freibu… vs 1899 Hoff… 0-3
Dec 14 SC Freibu… vs Bayer Lev… 2-0
Dec 08 SC Freibu… vs Werder Br… 0-3
Nov 24 SC Freibu… vs Bayern Mu… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bayern Munich Women in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • SC Freiburg Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 24, 2024 SC Freiburg Women 1 - 2 Bayern Munich Women DFB Pokal - Wo…
Nov 08, 2024 SC Freiburg Women 2 - 2 Bayern Munich Women Frauen Bundesl…
Feb 05, 2024 Bayern Munich Women 4 - 0 SC Freiburg Women Frauen Bundesl…
Sep 15, 2023 SC Freiburg Women 2 - 2 Bayern Munich Women Frauen Bundesl…
Apr 22, 2023 Bayern Munich Women 8 - 2 SC Freiburg Women Frauen Bundesl…
Nov 05, 2022 SC Freiburg Women 0 - 3 Bayern Munich Women Frauen Bundesl…
Feb 12, 2022 SC Freiburg Women 0 - 3 Bayern Munich Women Frauen Bundesl…
Sep 11, 2021 Bayern Munich Women 4 - 0 SC Freiburg Women Frauen Bundesl…
Final Verdict

ELITE: Bayern Munich Women to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 67 vs 40
Bayern Munich Women Power 67
SC Freiburg Women Power 40
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Bayern Munich Women Position

+5

Position Gap

6

SC Freiburg Women Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.