AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Frauen Bundesliga Feb 11, 2025

SGS Essen Women

Home
VS
17:30

FC Köln Women

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
SGS Essen Women Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
FC Köln Women Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.56 - 1.01
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.0
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
SGS Essen Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
FC Köln Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
SGS Essen Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 SGS Essen… vs Bayer Lev… 1-1
Nov 15 SGS Essen… vs SC Freibu… 1-0
Nov 02 SGS Essen… vs Werder Br… 1-0
Oct 11 SGS Essen… vs Turbine P… 0-3
Oct 06 SGS Essen… vs Eintracht… 1-3
Sep 30 SGS Essen… vs Carl Zeis… 0-2
Sep 21 SGS Essen… vs Bayer Lev… 0-2
May 20 SGS Essen… vs VfL Wolfs… 6-0
May 11 SGS Essen… vs FC Köln W… 2-1
May 05 SGS Essen… vs SC Freibu… 0-1
FC Köln Women Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 07 FC Köln W… vs VfL Wolfs… 0-0
Dec 16 FC Köln W… vs RB Leipzi… 1-3
Nov 09 FC Köln W… vs Eintracht… 8-0
Oct 19 FC Köln W… vs Carl Zeis… 2-2
Oct 13 FC Köln W… vs 1899 Hoff… 0-3
Sep 28 FC Köln W… vs SC Freibu… 0-2
Sep 22 FC Köln W… vs VfL Wolfs… 5-1
Sep 01 FC Köln W… vs RB Leipzi… 2-1
May 20 FC Köln W… vs Eintracht… 0-1
May 11 FC Köln W… vs SGS Essen… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • SGS Essen Women struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • FC Köln Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 11, 2024 SGS Essen Women 2 - 1 FC Köln Women Frauen Bundesl…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Köln Women to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
SGS Essen Women Power 19
FC Köln Women Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

SGS Essen Women Position

-5

Position Gap

8

FC Köln Women Position
Home Win Rate: 13%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.