AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A May 10, 2025

Lazio

Home
VS
16:00

Juventus

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Lazio Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Juventus Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.34 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.4
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lazio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Juventus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (14%) 2-1 (7%) 0-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Lazio Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 Lazio vs Empoli 0-1
Apr 28 Lazio vs Parma 2-2
Apr 23 Lazio vs Genoa 0-2
Apr 17 Lazio vs Bodø/Glimt 3-1
Apr 13 Lazio vs AS Roma 1-1
Apr 10 Lazio vs Bodø/Glimt 2-0
Apr 06 Lazio vs Atalanta 0-1
Mar 31 Lazio vs Torino 1-1
Mar 16 Lazio vs Bologna 5-0
Mar 13 Lazio vs Plzen 1-1
Juventus Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 Juventus vs Bologna 1-1
Apr 27 Juventus vs Monza 2-0
Apr 23 Juventus vs Parma 1-0
Apr 12 Juventus vs Lecce 2-1
Apr 06 Juventus vs AS Roma 1-1
Mar 29 Juventus vs Genoa 1-0
Mar 16 Juventus vs Fiorentina 3-0
Mar 09 Juventus vs Atalanta 0-4
Mar 03 Juventus vs Verona 2-0
Feb 26 Juventus vs Empoli 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lazio in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 19, 2024 Juventus 1 - 0 Lazio Pro League
Apr 23, 2024 Lazio 2 - 1 Juventus Coppa Italia
Apr 02, 2024 Juventus 2 - 0 Lazio Coppa Italia
Mar 30, 2024 Lazio 1 - 0 Juventus Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lazio Power 36
Juventus Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Lazio Position

-4

Position Gap

4

Juventus Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.