AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Apr 28, 2024

Inter

Home
VS
10:30

Torino

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Inter Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Torino Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 88%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 3.25 - 1.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 1.3 Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Inter Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Torino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Inter Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 22 Inter vs AC Milan 1-2
Apr 20 Inter vs Nashville… 3-1
Apr 14 Inter vs Cagliari 2-2
Apr 08 Inter vs Udinese 1-2
Apr 08 Inter vs Udinese 1-2
Apr 01 Inter vs Empoli 2-0
Mar 17 Inter vs Napoli 1-1
Mar 17 Inter vs Napoli 1-1
Mar 14 Inter vs Nashville… 3-1
Mar 13 Inter vs Atlético … 2-1
Torino Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Torino vs Frosinone 0-0
Apr 13 Torino vs Juventus 0-0
Apr 06 Torino vs Empoli 3-2
Mar 30 Torino vs Monza 1-0
Mar 16 Torino vs Udinese 0-2
Mar 16 Torino vs Udinese 0-2
Mar 08 Torino vs Napoli 1-1
Mar 02 Torino vs Fiorentina 0-0
Feb 26 Torino vs AS Roma 3-2
Feb 26 Torino vs AS Roma 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Inter in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 21, 2023 Torino 0 - 3 Inter Serie A
Jun 03, 2023 Torino 0 - 1 Inter Serie A
Sep 10, 2022 Inter 1 - 0 Torino Serie A
Mar 13, 2022 Torino 1 - 1 Inter Serie A
Dec 22, 2021 Inter 1 - 0 Torino Serie A
Mar 14, 2021 Torino 1 - 2 Inter Serie A
Final Verdict

ELITE: Inter to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+ SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Inter Power 50
Torino Power 27
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Inter Position

+12

Position Gap

13

Torino Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.