AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B May 17, 2024

Palermo

Home
VS
18:30

Sampdoria

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Palermo Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Sampdoria Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 44%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.72 - 2.21
Key Insights
Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Palermo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Sampdoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-3 (6%) 2-3 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Palermo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 Palermo vs Sudtirol 0-1
May 10 Palermo vs Sudtirol 0-1
May 05 Palermo vs Ascoli 2-2
May 01 Palermo vs Spezia 1-0
May 01 Palermo vs Spezia 1-0
Apr 27 Palermo vs Reggiana … 1-2
Apr 27 Palermo vs Reggiana … 1-2
Apr 19 Palermo vs Parma 0-0
Apr 13 Palermo vs Cosenza 1-1
Apr 06 Palermo vs Sampdoria 2-2
Sampdoria Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 Sampdoria vs Catanzaro 1-3
May 10 Sampdoria vs Catanzaro 1-3
May 05 Sampdoria vs Reggiana … 1-0
May 05 Sampdoria vs Reggiana … 1-0
May 05 Sampdoria vs Napoli Wo… 2-0
May 01 Sampdoria vs Lecce 0-1
May 01 Sampdoria vs Como Women 3-1
Apr 27 Sampdoria vs Como 1-1
Apr 27 Sampdoria vs Como 1-1
Apr 27 Sampdoria vs Pomigliano 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sampdoria in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 06, 2024 Palermo 2 - 2 Sampdoria Pro League
Apr 06, 2024 Palermo 2 - 2 Sampdoria Serie B
Nov 04, 2023 Sampdoria 1 - 0 Palermo Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Palermo to win (56% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 56% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Palermo Power 44
Sampdoria Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Palermo Position

+10

Position Gap

14

Sampdoria Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.