AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Coppa Italia Apr 23, 2024

Lazio

Home
VS
19:00

Juventus

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Lazio Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Juventus Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.86 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.6
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lazio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Juventus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Lazio Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 19 Lazio vs Genoa 0-1
Apr 19 Lazio vs Genoa 0-1
Apr 12 Lazio vs Salernita… 4-1
Apr 06 Lazio vs AS Roma 1-0
Apr 02 Lazio vs Juventus 2-0
Mar 30 Lazio vs Juventus 1-0
Mar 16 Lazio vs Frosinone 2-3
Mar 11 Lazio vs Udinese 1-2
Mar 11 Lazio vs Udinese 1-2
Mar 05 Lazio vs Bayern Mu… 3-0
Juventus Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 19 Juventus vs Cagliari 2-2
Apr 19 Juventus vs Cagliari 2-2
Apr 13 Juventus vs Torino 0-0
Apr 07 Juventus vs Fiorentina 1-0
Apr 07 Juventus vs Fiorentina 1-0
Apr 02 Juventus vs Lazio 2-0
Mar 30 Juventus vs Lazio 1-0
Mar 17 Juventus vs Genoa 0-0
Mar 10 Juventus vs Atalanta 2-2
Mar 10 Juventus vs Atalanta 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lazio in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 02, 2024 Juventus 2 - 0 Lazio Coppa Italia
Mar 30, 2024 Lazio 1 - 0 Juventus Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lazio to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lazio Power 36
Juventus Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.