AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 May 17, 2025

Marseille

Home
VS
19:00

Rennes FC

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Marseille Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Rennes FC Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 7%
xG: 4.50 - 1.18
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Marseille Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Rennes FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Marseille Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 Marseille vs LE Havre ā€¦ 1-3
May 04 Marseille vs Lille 1-1
Apr 27 Marseille vs Brest 4-1
Apr 27 Marseille vs Stade Breā€¦ 4-1
Apr 19 Marseille vs Montpelliā€¦ 5-1
Apr 12 Marseille vs Monaco 3-0
Apr 06 Marseille vs Toulouse 3-2
Mar 29 Marseille vs Reims 3-1
Mar 16 Marseille vs Paris FC 3-1
Mar 16 Marseille vs Paris Saiā€¦ 3-1
Rennes FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 Rennes FC vs Nice 2-0
May 03 Rennes FC vs Toulouse 2-1
Apr 26 Rennes FC vs Lyon 4-1
Apr 18 Rennes FC vs Nantes 2-1
Apr 13 Rennes FC vs LE Havre ā€¦ 1-5
Apr 06 Rennes FC vs Auxerre 0-1
Mar 30 Rennes FC vs Angers 0-3
Mar 19 Rennes FC vs Russia 5-0
Mar 15 Rennes FC vs Lens 1-0
Mar 09 Rennes FC vs St. Vinceā€¦ 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Marseille in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Rennes FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 11, 2025 Rennes FC 1 - 2 Marseille Ligue 1
Mar 17, 2024 Rennes FC 2 - 0 Marseille Pro League
Mar 17, 2024 Rennes FC 2 - 0 Marseille Ligue 1
Jan 21, 2024 Rennes FC 1 - 1 Marseille Coupe de France
Dec 03, 2023 Marseille 2 - 0 Rennes FC Ligue 1
Dec 03, 2023 Marseille 2 - 0 Rennes FC Pro League
Mar 05, 2023 Rennes FC 0 - 1 Marseille Ligue 1
Jan 20, 2023 Marseille 1 - 0 Rennes FC Coupe de France
Sep 18, 2022 Marseille 1 - 1 Rennes FC Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Marseille to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Marseille Power 48
Rennes FC Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Marseille Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Rennes FC Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.