AI Match Insights

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Ligue 2 May 14, 2025

Dunkerque

Home
VS
18:30

Guingamp

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Dunkerque Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Guingamp Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 3.83 - 1.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 1.7
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dunkerque Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Guingamp Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 2-2 (4%) 3-0 (4%) 3-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Dunkerque Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 Dunkerque vs Red Star 1-1
May 02 Dunkerque vs Laval 0-0
Apr 25 Dunkerque vs Estac Tro… 1-0
Apr 25 Dunkerque vs Troyes 1-0
Apr 18 Dunkerque vs Grenoble 2-0
Apr 11 Dunkerque vs Amiens 1-0
Apr 07 Dunkerque vs Guingamp 3-1
Apr 01 Dunkerque vs Paris Sai… 2-4
Mar 28 Dunkerque vs Bastia 2-0
Mar 15 Dunkerque vs Metz 2-3
Guingamp Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 Guingamp vs Pau FC 1-3
May 07 Guingamp vs Saint-Éti… 3-2
May 02 Guingamp vs Bastia 2-2
Apr 25 Guingamp vs Martigues 2-1
Apr 25 Guingamp vs Martigues 2-1
Apr 23 Guingamp vs Stade de … 1-0
Apr 18 Guingamp vs Amiens 3-2
Apr 12 Guingamp vs Lorient 1-2
Apr 12 Guingamp vs Montpelli… 3-1
Apr 07 Guingamp vs Dunkerque 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Guingamp in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 07, 2025 Dunkerque 3 - 1 Guingamp Ligue 2
Jan 04, 2025 Guingamp 1 - 1 Dunkerque Ligue 2
Apr 13, 2024 Dunkerque 0 - 1 Guingamp Pro League
Apr 13, 2024 Dunkerque 0 - 1 Guingamp Ligue 2
Aug 12, 2023 Guingamp 0 - 1 Dunkerque Ligue 2
May 07, 2022 Dunkerque 1 - 3 Guingamp Ligue 2
Dec 21, 2021 Guingamp 2 - 1 Dunkerque Ligue 2
Feb 05, 2021 Guingamp 0 - 0 Dunkerque Ligue 2
Oct 03, 2020 Dunkerque 1 - 0 Guingamp Ligue 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dunkerque Power 41
Guingamp Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Dunkerque Position

+1

Position Gap

7

Guingamp Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.