AI Match Insights
Ligue 2 Apr 07, 2025
Dunkerque
HomeVS
18:45
Guingamp
AwayAI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Dunkerque Win
Draw
Guingamp Win
Home Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
Combined: 61%
Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 4.26 - 1.04
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 1.0
Score Prediction Analysis
Dunkerque Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Guingamp Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
2-0 (5%)
3-2 (3%)
2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
Dunkerque Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 01 | Dunkerque vs Paris Sai… | 2-4 |
| Mar 28 | Dunkerque vs Bastia | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | Dunkerque vs Metz | 2-3 |
| Mar 10 | Dunkerque vs Rodez | 5-1 |
| Mar 03 | Dunkerque vs Ajaccio | 1-2 |
| Feb 26 | Dunkerque vs Stade Bre… | 2-3 |
| Feb 21 | Dunkerque vs Clermont | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Dunkerque vs Paris FC | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Dunkerque vs Caen | 0-2 |
| Feb 04 | Dunkerque vs Lille | 1-1 |
Guingamp Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29 | Guingamp vs Laval | 2-0 |
| Mar 29 | Guingamp vs Strasbour… | 6-0 |
| Mar 21 | Guingamp vs Paris Sai… | 2-6 |
| Mar 15 | Guingamp vs Le Havre … | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Guingamp vs Estac Tro… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Guingamp vs Troyes | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Guingamp vs Clermont | 3-1 |
| Mar 01 | Guingamp vs FC Fleury… | 0-6 |
| Mar 01 | Guingamp vs Red Star | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Guingamp vs Grenoble | 1-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Dunkerque struggling (4L in last 5) Home
- Guingamp struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 04, 2025 | Guingamp | 1 - 1 | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Dunkerque | 0 - 1 | Guingamp | Pro League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Dunkerque | 0 - 1 | Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Guingamp | 0 - 1 | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| May 07, 2022 | Dunkerque | 1 - 3 | Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 21, 2021 | Guingamp | 2 - 1 | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 05, 2021 | Guingamp | 0 - 0 | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 03, 2020 | Dunkerque | 1 - 0 | Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Dunkerque Power
41
Guingamp Power
35
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
6
Dunkerque Position+1
Position Gap7
Guingamp Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.