AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Apr 20, 2024

Moreirense

Home
VS
14:30

GIL Vicente

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Moreirense Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
GIL Vicente Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.42 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Moreirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
GIL Vicente Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (17%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Moreirense Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 14 Moreirense vs Benfica 3-0
Apr 14 Moreirense vs Benfica 3-0
Apr 14 Moreirense vs Leixões SC 1-1
Apr 14 Moreirense vs FC Porto 0-1
Apr 07 Moreirense vs MarĂ­timo 0-0
Apr 07 Moreirense vs Estrela d… 2-2
Apr 07 Moreirense vs Estrela d… 2-2
Apr 07 Moreirense vs Benfica 3-1
Mar 30 Moreirense vs Guimaraes 1-0
Mar 30 Moreirense vs Guimaraes 1-0
GIL Vicente Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 12 GIL Vicen… vs Sp Lisbon 0-4
Apr 12 GIL Vicen… vs Sporting … 0-4
Apr 06 GIL Vicen… vs Rio Ave FC 3-0
Apr 06 GIL Vicen… vs Rio Ave FC 3-0
Mar 29 GIL Vicen… vs Famalicao 1-2
Mar 29 GIL Vicen… vs Famalicao 1-2
Mar 16 GIL Vicen… vs SC Braga 2-1
Mar 11 GIL Vicen… vs Chaves 0-0
Mar 03 GIL Vicen… vs Casa Pia … 0-0
Mar 03 GIL Vicen… vs Casa Pia … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • GIL Vicente struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 11, 2023 GIL Vicente 1 - 1 Moreirense Pro League
Dec 11, 2023 GIL Vicente 1 - 1 Moreirense Primeira Liga
Apr 08, 2022 GIL Vicente 1 - 2 Moreirense Primeira Liga
Nov 26, 2021 Moreirense 2 - 2 GIL Vicente Primeira Liga
Apr 11, 2021 GIL Vicente 1 - 2 Moreirense Primeira Liga
Dec 05, 2020 Moreirense 1 - 1 GIL Vicente Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Moreirense Power 0
GIL Vicente Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Moreirense Position

-1

Position Gap

5

GIL Vicente Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.