AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Portugal 2 May 10, 2025

Moreirense

Home
VS
13:00

Marítimo

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Moreirense Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Marítimo Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.79 - 1.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.2
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Moreirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Marítimo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Moreirense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 09 Moreirense vs Mafra 2-1
May 05 Moreirense vs Penafiel … 0-1
May 04 Moreirense vs Marítimo 1-1
May 02 Moreirense vs FC Porto 3-1
May 02 Moreirense vs União de … 5-0
Apr 27 Moreirense vs Nacional 1-1
Apr 27 Moreirense vs FC Porto 0-1
Apr 26 Moreirense vs Marítimo 2-2
Apr 25 Moreirense vs Académico… 2-0
Apr 20 Moreirense vs Alverca 4-0
Marítimo Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 Marítimo vs Moreirense 1-1
Apr 26 Marítimo vs Moreirense 2-2
Apr 20 Marítimo vs Mafra 2-0
Apr 13 Marítimo vs Benfica 1-2
Apr 05 Marítimo vs Leixões SC 1-1
Mar 15 Marítimo vs Felgueira… 0-0
Feb 02 Marítimo vs Chaves 1-1
Jan 25 Marítimo vs Pacos Fer… 2-2
Dec 29 Marítimo vs Moreirense 1-2
Dec 15 Marítimo vs Moreirense 0-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 04, 2025 Marítimo 1 - 1 Moreirense Liga Portugal 2
Apr 26, 2025 Moreirense 2 - 2 Marítimo Liga Portugal 2
Dec 29, 2024 Marítimo 1 - 2 Moreirense Liga Portugal 2
Dec 15, 2024 Marítimo 0 - 3 Moreirense Liga Portugal 2
Nov 23, 2024 Moreirense 1 - 0 Marítimo Liga Portugal 2
May 12, 2024 Marítimo 2 - 1 Moreirense Liga Portugal 2
Apr 27, 2024 Marítimo 3 - 2 Moreirense Liga Portugal 2
Apr 07, 2024 Moreirense 0 - 0 Marítimo Liga Portugal 2
Jan 06, 2024 Moreirense 1 - 1 Marítimo Liga Portugal 2
Dec 17, 2023 Moreirense 0 - 1 Marítimo Liga Portugal 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Moreirense Power 0
Marítimo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.