AI Match Insights

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Liga Portugal 2 May 17, 2024

Benfica

Home
VS
17:00

FC Porto

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Benfica Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
FC Porto Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 4.50 - 0.84
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Benfica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
FC Porto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Benfica Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 12 Benfica vs Arouca 5-0
May 12 Benfica vs Arouca 5-0
May 10 Benfica vs CF Os Bel… 2-3
May 05 Benfica vs Famalicao 2-0
May 05 Benfica vs Famalicao 2-0
May 05 Benfica vs Pacos Fer… 2-2
Apr 28 Benfica vs Tondela 1-1
Apr 27 Benfica vs SC Braga 3-1
Apr 27 Benfica vs SC Braga 3-1
Apr 22 Benfica vs Farense 1-3
FC Porto Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 12 FC Porto vs Boavista 2-1
May 12 FC Porto vs Boavista 2-1
May 12 FC Porto vs Pacos Fer… 1-3
May 11 FC Porto vs Rubin 3-1
May 06 FC Porto vs Lokomotiv… 1-0
May 05 FC Porto vs Nacional 4-0
May 04 FC Porto vs Chaves 0-3
May 04 FC Porto vs Chaves 0-3
May 02 FC Porto vs Bastia 0-1
Apr 29 FC Porto vs Orenburg 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • FC Porto struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 03, 2024 FC Porto 5 - 0 Benfica Primeira Liga
Mar 03, 2024 FC Porto 5 - 0 Benfica Pro League
Jan 14, 2024 FC Porto 0 - 3 Benfica Liga Portugal 2
Sep 29, 2023 Benfica 1 - 0 FC Porto Primeira Liga
Aug 09, 2023 Benfica 2 - 0 FC Porto Super Cup
May 27, 2023 FC Porto 3 - 1 Benfica Liga Portugal 2
Apr 07, 2023 Benfica 1 - 2 FC Porto Primeira Liga
Jan 22, 2023 Benfica 2 - 2 FC Porto Liga Portugal 2
Oct 21, 2022 FC Porto 0 - 1 Benfica Primeira Liga
May 13, 2022 FC Porto 2 - 3 Benfica Liga Portugal 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Benfica to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Benfica Power 0
FC Porto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.