AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Portugal 2 Apr 27, 2024

MarĂ­timo

Home
VS
13:00

Moreirense

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
MarĂ­timo Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Moreirense Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.34 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.5
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
MarĂ­timo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Moreirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
MarĂ­timo Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Marítimo vs Länk FC V… 0-2
Apr 14 Marítimo vs Santa Cla… 0-0
Apr 07 MarĂ­timo vs Moreirense 0-0
Mar 30 Marítimo vs Leixões SC 0-0
Feb 11 Marítimo vs Pacos Fer… 1-2
Feb 04 MarĂ­timo vs Benfica 3-1
Jan 10 Marítimo vs União de … 0-3
Jan 06 MarĂ­timo vs Moreirense 1-1
Dec 17 MarĂ­timo vs Moreirense 0-1
Nov 19 MarĂ­timo vs Moreirense 1-2
Moreirense Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Moreirense vs CF Os Bel… 1-2
Apr 20 Moreirense vs GIL Vicen… 0-1
Apr 20 Moreirense vs GIL Vicen… 0-1
Apr 20 Moreirense vs União de … 0-3
Apr 19 Moreirense vs Leixões SC 1-1
Apr 14 Moreirense vs Benfica 3-0
Apr 14 Moreirense vs Benfica 3-0
Apr 14 Moreirense vs Leixões SC 1-1
Apr 14 Moreirense vs FC Porto 0-1
Apr 07 Moreirense vs MarĂ­timo 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Moreirense struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 07, 2024 Moreirense 0 - 0 MarĂ­timo Liga Portugal 2
Jan 06, 2024 Moreirense 1 - 1 MarĂ­timo Liga Portugal 2
Dec 17, 2023 Moreirense 0 - 1 MarĂ­timo Liga Portugal 2
Nov 19, 2023 MarĂ­timo 1 - 2 Moreirense Liga Portugal 2
Final Verdict

MASTER: MarĂ­timo to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 98
MarĂ­timo Power 0
Moreirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.