AI Match Insights

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Taça de Portugal May 25, 2025

Sporting CP

Home
VS
16:15

Benfica

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Sporting CP Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Benfica Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 3.25 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Sporting CP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Benfica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Sporting CP Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
May 17 Sporting … vs Guimaraes 2-0
May 10 Sporting … vs Benfica 1-1
May 04 Sporting … vs GIL Vicen… 2-1
Apr 27 Sporting … vs Boavista 0-5
Apr 22 Sporting … vs Rio Ave FC 1-2
Apr 18 Sporting … vs Moreirense 3-1
Apr 12 Sporting … vs Santa Cla… 0-1
Apr 03 Sporting … vs Rio Ave FC 2-0
Mar 29 Sporting … vs Estrela d… 0-3
Mar 09 Sporting … vs Casa Pia … 1-3
Benfica Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 24 Benfica vs BFA 3-0
May 17 Benfica vs SC Braga 1-1
May 17 Benfica vs FC Porto 1-4
May 16 Benfica vs Ekranas P… 0-1
May 11 Benfica vs Penafiel … 1-1
May 10 Benfica vs Atmosfera 2-4
May 10 Benfica vs Sporting … 1-1
May 10 Benfica vs Sp Lisbon 1-1
May 04 Benfica vs Felgueira… 3-3
May 03 Benfica vs Estoril 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sporting CP in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 10, 2025 Benfica 1 - 1 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
Jan 11, 2025 Sporting CP 1 - 1 Benfica Taça da Liga
Dec 29, 2024 Sporting CP 1 - 0 Benfica Primeira Liga
Apr 06, 2024 Sporting CP 2 - 1 Benfica Primeira Liga
Apr 02, 2024 Benfica 2 - 2 Sporting CP Taça de Portug…
Feb 29, 2024 Sporting CP 2 - 1 Benfica Taça de Portug…
Nov 12, 2023 Benfica 2 - 1 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
May 21, 2023 Sporting CP 2 - 2 Benfica Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sporting CP to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sporting CP Power 0
Benfica Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.