AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Taça da Liga Jan 07, 2025

Sporting CP

Home
VS
19:45

FC Porto

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Sporting CP Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
FC Porto Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 3.54 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Sporting CP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
FC Porto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Sporting CP Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 03 Sporting … vs Guimaraes 4-4
Dec 29 Sporting … vs Benfica 1-0
Dec 22 Sporting … vs GIL Vicen… 0-0
Dec 18 Sporting … vs Santa Cla… 2-1
Dec 10 Sporting … vs Cercle Br… 2-1
Nov 30 Sporting … vs Santa Cla… 0-1
Nov 22 Sporting … vs Amarante 6-0
Nov 01 Sporting … vs Estrela d… 5-1
Oct 29 Sporting … vs Nacional 3-1
Oct 05 Sporting … vs Casa Pia … 2-0
FC Porto Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 06 FC Porto vs Benfica 2-1
Dec 28 FC Porto vs Boavista 4-0
Dec 21 FC Porto vs Moreirense 0-3
Dec 21 FC Porto vs Vizela 2-1
Dec 16 FC Porto vs Estrela d… 2-0
Dec 16 FC Porto vs Estrela d… 2-0
Dec 15 FC Porto vs Moreirense 0-0
Dec 07 FC Porto vs Famalicao 1-1
Dec 07 FC Porto vs Famalicao 1-1
Dec 02 FC Porto vs Casa Pia … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Porto in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 03, 2024 Sporting CP 3 - 4 FC Porto Super Cup
May 26, 2024 FC Porto 2 - 1 Sporting CP Taça de Portug…
Apr 28, 2024 FC Porto 2 - 2 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sporting CP to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sporting CP Power 0
FC Porto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.