AI Match Insights

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Eredivisie May 28, 2024

NAC Breda

Home
VS
18:00

Excelsior

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
NAC Breda Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Excelsior Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 3.90 - 1.01
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 1.0
Score Prediction Analysis
NAC Breda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Excelsior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
NAC Breda Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
May 25 NAC Breda vs Emmen 0-3
May 21 NAC Breda vs Emmen 1-1
May 17 NAC Breda vs Roda 0-5
May 13 NAC Breda vs Roda 3-1
May 10 NAC Breda vs FC OSS 1-1
May 03 NAC Breda vs ADO Den H… 2-2
Apr 28 NAC Breda vs Jong PSV 2-0
Apr 19 NAC Breda vs Den Bosch 2-2
Apr 12 NAC Breda vs Dordrecht 1-4
Apr 07 NAC Breda vs Groningen 1-1
Excelsior Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 25 Excelsior vs ADO Den H… 7-1
May 22 Excelsior vs ADO Den H… 1-2
May 19 Excelsior vs Feyenoord 4-0
May 19 Excelsior vs Feyenoord 4-0
May 12 Excelsior vs Heracles 4-0
May 12 Excelsior vs Heracles 4-0
May 06 Excelsior vs Nijmegen 0-3
May 06 Excelsior vs Nijmegen 0-3
Apr 24 Excelsior vs Ajax 2-2
Apr 24 Excelsior vs Ajax 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • NAC Breda in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Excelsior in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 22, 2023 NAC Breda 2 - 0 Excelsior Friendlies Clu…
May 06, 2022 Excelsior 2 - 2 NAC Breda Eerste Divisie
Oct 01, 2021 NAC Breda 4 - 1 Excelsior Eerste Divisie
Apr 23, 2021 NAC Breda 1 - 2 Excelsior Eerste Divisie
Jan 03, 2021 Excelsior 0 - 3 NAC Breda Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
NAC Breda Power 0
Excelsior Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

NAC Breda Position

-4

Position Gap

13

Excelsior Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.