AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie May 02, 2025

Den Bosch

Home
VS
18:00

Helmond Sport

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Den Bosch Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Helmond Sport Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.65 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.6 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Den Bosch Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Helmond Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Den Bosch Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 28 Den Bosch vs Jong AZ 0-0
Apr 18 Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo 0-0
Apr 12 Den Bosch vs Dordrecht 4-0
Apr 06 Den Bosch vs PSV Eindh… 2-2
Mar 07 Den Bosch vs Cambuur 0-2
Feb 07 Den Bosch vs De Graafs… 1-0
Jan 18 Den Bosch vs MVV Maast… 5-0
Dec 20 Den Bosch vs Emmen 0-3
Dec 06 Den Bosch vs Helmond S… 0-0
Dec 01 Den Bosch vs Dordrecht 2-3
Helmond Sport Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 28 Helmond S… vs Jong AZ 1-0
Apr 18 Helmond S… vs Cambuur 1-1
Apr 13 Helmond S… vs VVV Venlo 4-1
Mar 14 Helmond S… vs Jong PSV 1-1
Mar 07 Helmond S… vs MVV Maast… 4-0
Feb 24 Helmond S… vs Emmen 1-2
Feb 21 Helmond S… vs Vitesse 3-0
Feb 08 Helmond S… vs Dordrecht 0-1
Dec 06 Helmond S… vs Den Bosch 0-0
Nov 29 Helmond S… vs Vitesse 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 06, 2024 Helmond Sport 0 - 0 Den Bosch Eerste Divisie
Feb 02, 2024 Den Bosch 0 - 0 Helmond Sport Eerste Divisie
Aug 18, 2023 Helmond Sport 1 - 0 Den Bosch Eerste Divisie
Apr 14, 2023 Den Bosch 1 - 2 Helmond Sport Eerste Divisie
Dec 16, 2022 Helmond Sport 1 - 0 Den Bosch Eerste Divisie
May 06, 2022 Helmond Sport 1 - 1 Den Bosch Eerste Divisie
Aug 06, 2021 Den Bosch 2 - 0 Helmond Sport Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Den Bosch to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Den Bosch Power 0
Helmond Sport Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Den Bosch Position

+7

Position Gap

17

Helmond Sport Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.