AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Apr 14, 2025

Jong PSV

Home
VS
18:00

MVV Maastricht

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Jong PSV Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
MVV Maastricht Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP3vsBot (75.8%) M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 90%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 4.50 - 2.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 2.6 Position gap: 15 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jong PSV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
MVV Maastricht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 2-3 (2%) 2-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Jong PSV Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 14 Jong PSV vs Helmond S… 1-1
Mar 10 Jong PSV vs FC OSS 2-2
Feb 10 Jong PSV vs Cambuur 1-4
Dec 20 Jong PSV vs Vitesse 6-4
Nov 29 Jong PSV vs PSV Eindh… 1-0
Nov 08 Jong PSV vs Cambuur 1-0
Oct 25 Jong PSV vs Vitesse 1-3
Sep 30 Jong PSV vs Helmond S… 1-3
Sep 16 Jong PSV vs ADO Den H… 2-2
Sep 13 Jong PSV vs FC OSS 0-3
MVV Maastricht Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 14 MVV Maast… vs Jong AZ 0-1
Mar 07 MVV Maast… vs Helmond S… 4-0
Feb 14 MVV Maast… vs PSV Eindh… 2-0
Feb 01 MVV Maast… vs Roda 3-2
Jan 18 MVV Maast… vs Den Bosch 5-0
Dec 17 MVV Maast… vs Feyenoord 1-2
Dec 02 MVV Maast… vs Jong AZ 2-3
Nov 17 MVV Maast… vs PSV Eindh… 1-1
Nov 04 MVV Maast… vs Utrecht 4-3
Oct 30 MVV Maast… vs Den Bosch 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • MVV Maastricht in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 30, 2024 MVV Maastricht 3 - 2 Jong PSV Eerste Divisie
Feb 19, 2024 MVV Maastricht 3 - 3 Jong PSV Eerste Divisie
Oct 06, 2023 Jong PSV 2 - 3 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Apr 24, 2023 Jong PSV 0 - 1 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Oct 14, 2022 MVV Maastricht 1 - 1 Jong PSV Eerste Divisie
Apr 25, 2022 Jong PSV 2 - 2 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Nov 26, 2021 MVV Maastricht 1 - 2 Jong PSV Eerste Divisie
Apr 05, 2021 Jong PSV 3 - 1 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

MASTER: Jong PSV to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 15
Jong PSV Power 0
MVV Maastricht Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Jong PSV Position

+15

Position Gap

18

MVV Maastricht Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 23%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.