AI Match Insights
Eerste Divisie May 03, 2024
Jong PSV
HomeVS
18:00
FC OSS
AwayAI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Jong PSV Win
Draw
FC OSS Win
Home Win
(57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
89%
Standings
86%
Market
50%
Combined: 56%
Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.47 - 0.80
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.8
Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jong PSV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
FC OSS Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%)
3-0 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
Jong PSV Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28 | Jong PSV vs NAC Breda | 2-0 |
| Apr 22 | Jong PSV vs Utrecht | 2-0 |
| Apr 12 | Jong PSV vs PSV Eindh… | 2-5 |
| Mar 04 | Jong PSV vs Cambuur | 3-1 |
| Feb 19 | Jong PSV vs MVV Maast… | 3-3 |
| Jan 29 | Jong PSV vs Willem II | 1-1 |
| Jan 19 | Jong PSV vs Helmond S… | 2-2 |
| Dec 01 | Jong PSV vs Utrecht | 0-0 |
| Nov 06 | Jong PSV vs ADO Den H… | 1-2 |
| Oct 23 | Jong PSV vs PSV Eindh… | 3-4 |
FC OSS Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26 | FC OSS vs Jong AZ | 1-1 |
| Apr 19 | FC OSS vs Dordrecht | 3-1 |
| Apr 12 | FC OSS vs Roda | 1-4 |
| Mar 11 | FC OSS vs Emmen | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | FC OSS vs De Graafs… | 2-1 |
| Feb 02 | FC OSS vs ADO Den H… | 1-3 |
| Jan 12 | FC OSS vs Willem II | 0-5 |
| Dec 01 | FC OSS vs De Graafs… | 0-1 |
| Oct 06 | FC OSS vs ADO Den H… | 2-1 |
| Sep 29 | FC OSS vs Emmen | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Jong PSV in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- FC OSS struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2023 | FC OSS | 4 - 1 | Jong PSV | Eerste Divisie |
| May 12, 2023 | FC OSS | 1 - 0 | Jong PSV | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 05, 2022 | Jong PSV | 0 - 3 | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 08, 2022 | FC OSS | 2 - 0 | Jong PSV | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 05, 2021 | Jong PSV | 2 - 2 | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| May 03, 2021 | Jong PSV | 0 - 0 | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
Final Verdict
MASTER: Jong PSV to win (82% confidence)
MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0
82% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Jong PSV Power
0
FC OSS Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Jong PSV Position+13
Position Gap16
FC OSS Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.