AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa do Brasil Oct 03, 2024

Flamengo

Home
VS
00:45

Corinthians

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Flamengo Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Corinthians Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 2.04 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Flamengo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Corinthians Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Flamengo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 15 Flamengo vs Vasco DA … 1-1
Sep 13 Flamengo vs Bahia 1-0
Sep 01 Flamengo vs Corinthia… 2-1
Aug 29 Flamengo vs Bahia 0-1
Aug 07 Flamengo vs Palmeiras 1-0
Aug 04 Flamengo vs São Paulo… 1-0
Jul 31 Flamengo vs Palmeiras 2-0
Jul 04 Flamengo vs Atletico-… 2-4
Jun 23 Flamengo vs Fluminense 0-1
Jun 02 Flamengo vs Vasco DA … 1-6
Corinthians Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 29 Corinthia… vs São Paulo… 3-1
Sep 25 Corinthia… vs Fortaleza 3-0
Sep 22 Corinthia… vs São Paulo… 2-0
Sep 18 Corinthia… vs Fortaleza 0-2
Sep 15 Corinthia… vs São Paulo… 1-3
Sep 15 Corinthia… vs Botafogo 2-1
Sep 12 Corinthia… vs Juventude 3-1
Sep 08 Corinthia… vs Palmeiras 1-2
Sep 01 Corinthia… vs Flamengo 2-1
Sep 01 Corinthia… vs Palmeiras 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Corinthians in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 01, 2024 Corinthians 2 - 1 Flamengo Serie A
May 11, 2024 Flamengo 2 - 0 Corinthians Serie A
Oct 08, 2023 Corinthians 1 - 1 Flamengo Serie A
May 21, 2023 Flamengo 1 - 0 Corinthians Serie A
Nov 03, 2022 Flamengo 1 - 2 Corinthians Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Flamengo to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Flamengo Power 0
Corinthians Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.