AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa do Brasil May 03, 2024

Palmeiras

Home
VS
00:30

Botafogo

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Palmeiras Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Botafogo Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.53 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Palmeiras Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Botafogo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (18%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Under 2.5 Goals 75%
Palmeiras Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 29 Palmeiras vs São Paulo… 0-0
Apr 14 Palmeiras vs Vitoria 0-1
Apr 07 Palmeiras vs Santos 2-0
Mar 31 Palmeiras vs Santos 1-0
Mar 29 Palmeiras vs Novorizon… 1-0
Mar 09 Palmeiras vs Botafogo 1-0
Mar 03 Palmeiras vs São Paulo… 1-1
Feb 28 Palmeiras vs Portugues… 0-2
Feb 24 Palmeiras vs Mirassol 3-1
Feb 04 Palmeiras vs São Paulo… 0-0
Botafogo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 02 Botafogo vs Vitoria 1-0
Apr 14 Botafogo vs Cruzeiro 3-2
Apr 13 Botafogo vs Sousa 1-1
Apr 06 Botafogo vs Sousa 0-0
Mar 10 Botafogo vs Sousa 0-0
Mar 09 Botafogo vs Palmeiras 1-0
Mar 03 Botafogo vs Fluminense 2-4
Feb 18 Botafogo vs Vasco DA … 2-4
Feb 14 Botafogo vs Volta Red… 0-3
Jan 31 Botafogo vs Fluminense 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Palmeiras in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 09, 2024 Palmeiras 1 - 0 Botafogo Paulista - A1
Nov 02, 2023 Botafogo 3 - 4 Palmeiras Serie A
Jun 25, 2023 Palmeiras 0 - 1 Botafogo Serie A
Jan 20, 2023 Botafogo 0 - 1 Palmeiras Paulista - A1
Oct 03, 2022 Botafogo 1 - 3 Palmeiras Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Palmeiras to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Palmeiras Power 0
Botafogo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.