AI Match Insights

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Liga Profesional Argentina Dec 08, 2024

River Plate

Home
VS
22:15

Rosario Central

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
River Plate Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Rosario Central Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 1.98 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.9
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
River Plate Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Rosario Central Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
River Plate Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 05 River Pla… vs San Loren… 1-1
Nov 30 River Pla… vs Estudiant… 1-2
Nov 10 River Pla… vs Barracas … 3-0
Oct 19 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 1-1
Sep 21 River Pla… vs Boca Juni… 0-1
Aug 17 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 1-1
Jul 09 River Pla… vs Millonari… 1-1
May 22 River Pla… vs Temperley 1-1
Apr 21 River Pla… vs Boca Juni… 2-3
Apr 08 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 2-1
Rosario Central Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 30 Rosario C… vs Racing Cl… 0-2
Nov 25 Rosario C… vs Central C… 0-1
Aug 17 Rosario C… vs Independi… 1-0
Jul 08 Rosario C… vs Barracas … 0-1
Apr 08 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 2-1
Feb 14 Rosario C… vs Independi… 1-0
Dec 23 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 0-2
Dec 10 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 0-0
Dec 04 Rosario C… vs Racing Cl… 2-2
Nov 11 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • River Plate in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Rosario Central struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 08, 2024 River Plate 2 - 1 Rosario Central Copa de la Lig…
Dec 23, 2023 River Plate 0 - 2 Rosario Central Trofeo de Camp…
Dec 10, 2023 River Plate 0 - 0 Rosario Central Copa de la Lig…
Nov 11, 2023 Rosario Central 3 - 1 River Plate Copa de la Lig…
Jul 24, 2023 Rosario Central 3 - 3 River Plate Liga Profesion…
Oct 16, 2022 River Plate 1 - 2 Rosario Central Liga Profesion…
Nov 28, 2021 Rosario Central 2 - 2 River Plate Liga Profesion…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: River Plate to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
River Plate Power 0
Rosario Central Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

River Plate Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Rosario Central Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.