AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Argentina Nov 28, 2024

Boca Juniors

Home
VS
00:10

VĂ©lez Sarsfield

Away
AI Predictions 46.0% Confidence
Boca Juniors Win
25.0%
Draw
29.0%
VĂ©lez Sarsfield Win
46.0%
Away Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.58 - 0.96
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 1.0
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Boca Juniors Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
VĂ©lez Sarsfield Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Boca Juniors Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 27 Boca Juni… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Oct 24 Boca Juni… vs Gimnasia … 1-1
Oct 19 Boca Juni… vs Tigre 3-0
Sep 21 Boca Juni… vs River Pla… 0-1
Sep 07 Boca Juni… vs Talleres … 1-1
Aug 27 Boca Juni… vs Estudiant… 1-1
Jun 20 Boca Juni… vs Almirante… 2-1
Apr 30 Boca Juni… vs Estudiant… 1-1
Apr 21 Boca Juni… vs River Pla… 2-3
Apr 13 Boca Juni… vs Estudiant… 1-0
VĂ©lez Sarsfield Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Vélez Sar… vs River Pla… 1-1
Sep 27 Vélez Sar… vs Independi… 1-0
Aug 17 Vélez Sar… vs Instituto… 1-0
Aug 07 Vélez Sar… vs San Loren… 1-3
Jul 21 Vélez Sar… vs Talleres … 3-0
Jun 06 Vélez Sar… vs Arsenal S… 1-2
May 26 Vélez Sar… vs Independi… 1-1
May 13 Vélez Sar… vs Gimnasia … 3-1
Mar 30 Vélez Sar… vs Talleres … 1-0
Mar 17 Vélez Sar… vs Instituto… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • VĂ©lez Sarsfield in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Boca Juniors to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Boca Juniors Power 0
VĂ©lez Sarsfield Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.