AI Match Insights

Copa Argentina Nov 23, 2023

Boca Juniors

Home
VS
00:10

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Boca Juniors Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.33 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.7
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Boca Juniors Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 0-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Boca Juniors Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 12 Boca Juni… vs Newell’s … 1-0
Oct 28 Boca Juni… vs Estudiant… 0-0
Sep 03 Boca Juni… vs Tigre 0-1
Jul 24 Boca Juni… vs Newell’s … 2-1
May 28 Boca Juni… vs Tigre 1-0
Apr 15 Boca Juni… vs Estudiant… 0-1
Oct 16 Boca Juni… vs Newell’s … 2-0
Jul 24 Boca Juni… vs Estudiant… 3-1
Jun 16 Boca Juni… vs Tigre 5-3
May 22 Boca Juni… vs Tigre 3-0
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 Estudiant… vs Deportivo… 0-0
Nov 14 Estudiant… vs Atletico … 0-0
Nov 13 Estudiant… vs Deportivo… 0-1
Nov 05 Estudiant… vs Defensa y… 2-1
Oct 28 Estudiant… vs Boca Juni… 0-0
Sep 09 Estudiant… vs Independi… 1-1
Aug 03 Estudiant… vs Banfield 0-1
Jul 28 Estudiant… vs Argentino… 2-3
May 14 Estudiant… vs Defensa y… 1-1
Apr 15 Estudiant… vs Boca Juni… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Boca Juniors in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 28, 2023 Boca Juniors 0 - 0 Estudiantes de Rio … Copa de la Lig…
Apr 15, 2023 Boca Juniors 0 - 1 Estudiantes de Rio … Liga Profesion…
Jul 24, 2022 Boca Juniors 3 - 1 Estudiantes de Rio … Liga Profesion…
Mar 14, 2022 Estudiantes de Rio … 0 - 1 Boca Juniors Liga Profesion…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Boca Juniors to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Boca Juniors Power 0
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.