AI Match Insights
Jupiler Pro League May 03, 2025
OH Leuven
HomeVS
16:15
Mechelen
AwayAI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
OH Leuven Win
Draw
Mechelen Win
Home Win
(57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 51%
Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 3.99 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 0.7
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
OH Leuven Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Mechelen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (5%)
1-0 (4%)
1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
OH Leuven Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26 | OH Leuven vs Standard … | 1-1 |
| Apr 22 | OH Leuven vs Standard … | 0-1 |
| Apr 13 | OH Leuven vs Mechelen | 1-1 |
| Mar 16 | OH Leuven vs St. Truid… | 3-2 |
| Feb 08 | OH Leuven vs Cercle Br… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | OH Leuven vs Mechelen | 1-0 |
| Jan 19 | OH Leuven vs Union Sai… | 1-0 |
| Jan 11 | OH Leuven vs Gent | 2-0 |
| Jan 07 | OH Leuven vs Cercle Br… | 3-0 |
| Dec 22 | OH Leuven vs Cercle Br… | 1-0 |
Mechelen Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26 | Mechelen vs Westerlo | 2-2 |
| Apr 26 | Mechelen vs Westerlo | 2-2 |
| Apr 22 | Mechelen vs Westerlo | 2-3 |
| Apr 22 | Mechelen vs Westerlo | 2-3 |
| Apr 19 | Mechelen vs Charleroi | 3-0 |
| Apr 19 | Mechelen vs Charleroi | 3-0 |
| Apr 13 | Mechelen vs OH Leuven | 1-1 |
| Apr 13 | Mechelen vs Oud-Hever… | 1-1 |
| Apr 04 | Mechelen vs Dender | 5-2 |
| Apr 04 | Mechelen vs Dender | 5-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Mechelen struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Mechelen | 1 - 1 | OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Jan 31, 2025 | OH Leuven | 1 - 0 | Mechelen | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Oct 05, 2024 | Mechelen | 5 - 0 | OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Mechelen | 3 - 0 | OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Mar 30, 2024 | OH Leuven | 2 - 3 | Mechelen | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Mar 17, 2024 | OH Leuven | 1 - 0 | Mechelen | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Mechelen | 1 - 2 | OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Apr 08, 2023 | OH Leuven | 4 - 1 | Mechelen | Jupiler Pro Le… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: OH Leuven to win (60% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 85
OH Leuven Power
0
Mechelen Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.