AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Jupiler Pro League May 12, 2024

Gent

Home
VS
11:30

OH Leuven

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Gent Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
OH Leuven Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.30 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.7 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Gent Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
OH Leuven Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Gent Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 11 Gent vs Anderlecht 2-1
May 11 Gent vs Anderlecht 2-1
May 04 Gent vs Cercle Br… 4-1
May 04 Gent vs Mechelen 2-4
May 04 Gent vs Mechelen 2-4
May 04 Gent vs Cercle Br… 4-1
Apr 28 Gent vs Cercle Br… 0-3
Apr 28 Gent vs Cercle Br… 0-3
Apr 27 Gent vs Westerlo 3-2
Apr 27 Gent vs Westerlo 3-2
OH Leuven Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 05 OH Leuven vs Standard … 3-1
Apr 27 OH Leuven vs Mechelen 3-0
Apr 23 OH Leuven vs Westerlo 1-1
Apr 20 OH Leuven vs St. Truid… 1-0
Apr 06 OH Leuven vs Standard … 0-0
Mar 30 OH Leuven vs Mechelen 2-3
Mar 17 OH Leuven vs Mechelen 1-0
Mar 10 OH Leuven vs Cercle Br… 3-1
Mar 02 OH Leuven vs Union Sai… 0-2
Feb 10 OH Leuven vs Standard … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Gent struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 31, 2024 OH Leuven 2 - 1 Gent Jupiler Pro Le…
Nov 12, 2023 Gent 3 - 1 OH Leuven Jupiler Pro Le…
Jul 08, 2023 Gent 4 - 0 OH Leuven Friendlies Clu…
Apr 02, 2023 Gent 2 - 1 OH Leuven Jupiler Pro Le…
Oct 15, 2022 OH Leuven 0 - 1 Gent Jupiler Pro Le…
Feb 09, 2022 OH Leuven 2 - 1 Gent Jupiler Pro Le…
Nov 11, 2021 OH Leuven 0 - 2 Gent Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Gent to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gent Power 0
OH Leuven Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Gent Position

+9

Position Gap

14

OH Leuven Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.