AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Jupiler Pro League May 03, 2024

KVC Westerlo

Home
VS
18:45

St. Truiden

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
KVC Westerlo Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
St. Truiden Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.88 - 1.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 1.8
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
KVC Westerlo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
St. Truiden Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 1-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
KVC Westerlo Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 31 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 2-0
Feb 24 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 1-0
Nov 10 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 3-3
Jul 01 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 2-2
Feb 19 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 0-1
St. Truiden Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 St. Truid… vs Standard … 1-1
Apr 27 St. Truid… vs Standard … 1-1
Apr 23 St. Truid… vs Gent 0-2
Apr 23 St. Truid… vs Gent 0-2
Apr 20 St. Truid… vs OH Leuven 1-0
Apr 20 St. Truid… vs Oud-Hever… 1-0
Apr 12 St. Truid… vs Standard … 3-3
Apr 12 St. Truid… vs Standard … 3-3
Apr 05 St. Truid… vs Mechelen 2-3
Mar 31 St. Truid… vs Westerlo 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • St. Truiden struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 31, 2024 St. Truiden 2 - 0 KVC Westerlo Jupiler Pro Le…
Feb 24, 2024 St. Truiden 1 - 0 KVC Westerlo Jupiler Pro Le…
Nov 10, 2023 KVC Westerlo 3 - 3 St. Truiden Jupiler Pro Le…
Jul 01, 2023 KVC Westerlo 2 - 2 St. Truiden Friendlies Clu…
Feb 19, 2023 St. Truiden 0 - 1 KVC Westerlo Jupiler Pro Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
KVC Westerlo Power 0
St. Truiden Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

KVC Westerlo Position

-9

Position Gap

2

St. Truiden Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 55%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.