AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League 1 May 19, 2024

Aris Thessaloniki

Home
VS
17:00

PAOK

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Aris Thessaloniki Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
PAOK Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.59 - 0.89
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.9
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aris Thessaloniki Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
PAOK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Aris Thessaloniki Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 15 Aris Thes… vs Larisa 2-4
Apr 28 Aris Thes… vs Panathina… 0-1
Apr 24 Aris Thes… vs Olympiako… 1-1
Apr 21 Aris Thes… vs AEK Athen… 1-2
Apr 14 Aris Thes… vs AEK Athen… 2-0
Apr 07 Aris Thes… vs Panathina… 0-2
Apr 03 Aris Thes… vs Olympiako… 3-0
Mar 31 Aris Thes… vs Larisa 3-1
Mar 10 Aris Thes… vs PAOK 0-1
Mar 06 Aris Thes… vs Panetolik… 0-0
PAOK Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 15 PAOK vs Panathina… 4-1
May 14 PAOK vs Iraklis 1… 2-2
May 12 PAOK vs Olympiako… 2-0
May 11 PAOK vs Zalaegers… 1-1
May 08 PAOK vs Kozani 3-1
Apr 29 PAOK vs Panetolik… 1-2
Apr 28 PAOK vs AEK Athen… 3-2
Apr 24 PAOK vs Larisa 1-1
Apr 21 PAOK vs Olympiako… 2-1
Apr 21 PAOK vs Kampaniak… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 10, 2024 PAOK 0 - 1 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
Jan 07, 2024 Aris Thessaloniki 2 - 1 PAOK Super League 1
Sep 17, 2023 PAOK 0 - 0 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
Apr 30, 2023 PAOK 3 - 2 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
Mar 19, 2023 Aris Thessaloniki 1 - 2 PAOK Super League 1
Jan 04, 2023 PAOK 1 - 0 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
Sep 04, 2022 Aris Thessaloniki 0 - 0 PAOK Super League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aris Thessaloniki Power 0
PAOK Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Aris Thessaloniki Position

-3

Position Gap

3

PAOK Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 63%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.