AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League 1 May 19, 2024

Panathinaikos

Home
VS
17:00

Olympiakos Piraeus

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Panathinaikos Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Olympiakos Piraeus Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.55 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.5
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Panathinaikos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Olympiakos Piraeus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Panathinaikos Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 16 Panathina… vs Panathina… 0-2
May 15 Panathina… vs PAOK 4-1
May 10 Panathina… vs Diagoras 1-0
Apr 28 Panathina… vs Aris Thes… 0-1
Apr 28 Panathina… vs Olympiako… 1-0
Apr 24 Panathina… vs AEK Athen… 3-0
Apr 21 Panathina… vs Larisa 0-5
Apr 21 Panathina… vs Giouchtas 1-2
Apr 14 Panathina… vs Larisa 3-1
Apr 07 Panathina… vs Aris Thes… 0-2
Olympiakos Piraeus Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 15 Olympiako… vs AEK Athen… 2-0
May 12 Olympiako… vs PAOK 2-0
Apr 28 Olympiako… vs Larisa 4-1
Apr 24 Olympiako… vs Aris Thes… 1-1
Apr 21 Olympiako… vs PAOK 2-1
Apr 07 Olympiako… vs Larisa 1-5
Apr 03 Olympiako… vs Aris Thes… 3-0
Mar 31 Olympiako… vs AEK Athen… 1-0
Mar 03 Olympiako… vs Volos NFC 3-0
Feb 25 Olympiako… vs Asteras T… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Panathinaikos in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Olympiakos Piraeus in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 17, 2024 Olympiakos Piraeus 0 - 0 Panathinaikos Cup
Jan 10, 2024 Panathinaikos 1 - 1 Olympiakos Piraeus Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Panathinaikos Power 0
Olympiakos Piraeus Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Panathinaikos Position

-4

Position Gap

1

Olympiakos Piraeus Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.