AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League 1 Mar 31, 2024

AEK Athens FC

Home
VS
17:30

Olympiakos Piraeus

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
AEK Athens FC Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Olympiakos Piraeus Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.23 - 1.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.2
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AEK Athens FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Olympiakos Piraeus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
AEK Athens FC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 AEK Athen… vs Aris Thes… 3-3
Feb 04 AEK Athen… vs Asteras T… 4-2
Jan 28 AEK Athen… vs OFI Crete 3-0
Jan 21 AEK Athen… vs Atromitos 0-5
Jan 17 AEK Athen… vs Aris Thes… 1-1
Jan 14 AEK Athen… vs Panathina… 2-2
Jan 10 AEK Athen… vs Aris Thes… 0-0
Jan 07 AEK Athen… vs Olympiako… 1-2
Dec 18 AEK Athen… vs Panetolik… 2-2
Oct 22 AEK Athen… vs Asteras T… 0-3
Olympiakos Piraeus Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 Olympiako… vs Volos NFC 3-0
Feb 25 Olympiako… vs Asteras T… 2-1
Feb 18 Olympiako… vs PAOK 1-4
Feb 10 Olympiako… vs OFI Crete 4-0
Jan 21 Olympiako… vs Aris Thes… 1-2
Jan 17 Olympiako… vs Panathina… 0-0
Jan 14 Olympiako… vs Kifisia 2-3
Jan 10 Olympiako… vs Panathina… 1-1
Jan 07 Olympiako… vs AEK Athen… 1-2
Dec 21 Olympiako… vs Atromitos 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AEK Athens FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Olympiakos Piraeus in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 07, 2024 Olympiakos Piraeus 1 - 2 AEK Athens FC Super League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AEK Athens FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AEK Athens FC Power 0
Olympiakos Piraeus Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

AEK Athens FC Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Olympiakos Piraeus Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.