AI Match Insights

SĂĽper Lig May 19, 2024

Galatasaray

Home
VS
16:00

Fenerbahce

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Galatasaray Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Fenerbahce Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 54%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 1.65 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Galatasaray Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Fenerbahce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (13%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Galatasaray Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
May 12 Galatasar… vs Fatih Kar… 2-3
May 05 Galatasar… vs Samsunspor 6-1
Apr 26 Galatasar… vs Adana Dem… 0-3
Apr 07 Galatasar… vs Fenerbahce 1-0
Mar 17 Galatasar… vs Kasımpaşa 3-4
Feb 29 Galatasar… vs Fatih Kar… 0-2
Feb 26 Galatasar… vs Antalyasp… 2-1
Feb 22 Galatasar… vs Slavia Pr… 4-1
Feb 15 Galatasar… vs Slavia Pr… 3-2
Feb 10 Galatasar… vs İstanbul … 2-0
Fenerbahce Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 12 Fenerbahce vs Kocaelisp… 3-0
May 06 Fenerbahce vs Antalyasp… 0-0
Apr 27 Fenerbahce vs Besiktas 2-1
Apr 07 Fenerbahce vs Galatasar… 1-0
Feb 27 Fenerbahce vs AnkaragĂĽcĂĽ 3-0
Feb 11 Fenerbahce vs Antalyasp… 2-2
Feb 07 Fenerbahce vs Gazişehir… 0-2
Jan 24 Fenerbahce vs İstanbul … 0-1
Jan 21 Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor 1-1
Jan 17 Fenerbahce vs Adana Dem… 6-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Galatasaray in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 07, 2024 Galatasaray 1 - 0 Fenerbahce Super Cup
Dec 24, 2023 Fenerbahce 0 - 0 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Jun 04, 2023 Galatasaray 3 - 0 Fenerbahce SĂĽper Lig
Jan 08, 2023 Fenerbahce 0 - 3 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Galatasaray to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Galatasaray Power 0
Fenerbahce Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Galatasaray Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Fenerbahce Position

Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 64%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.