AI Match Insights

SĂĽper Lig May 04, 2024

Samsunspor

Home
VS
16:00

Trabzonspor

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Samsunspor Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Trabzonspor Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.77 - 1.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.2
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Samsunspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Trabzonspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Samsunspor Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Samsunspor vs Antalyasp… 1-0
Apr 27 Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa 1-0
Mar 03 Samsunspor vs İstanbul … 1-0
Feb 25 Samsunspor vs Pendikspor 4-1
Feb 07 Samsunspor vs Antalyasp… 0-1
Feb 06 Samsunspor vs Fatih Kar… 2-1
Feb 02 Samsunspor vs Galatasar… 0-2
Jan 21 Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce 1-1
Jan 18 Samsunspor vs Keçiöreng… 3-2
Jan 17 Samsunspor vs Antalyasp… 1-3
Trabzonspor Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 28 Trabzonsp… vs Gazişehir… 4-2
Apr 24 Trabzonsp… vs Fatih Kar… 3-2
Apr 03 Trabzonsp… vs Antalyasp… 1-3
Feb 28 Trabzonsp… vs İstanbul … 1-0
Feb 08 Trabzonsp… vs Genclerbi… 1-2
Feb 04 Trabzonsp… vs Besiktas 2-0
Jan 29 Trabzonsp… vs Kasımpaşa 2-3
Jan 18 Trabzonsp… vs Manisa FK 3-1
Jan 14 Trabzonsp… vs Antalyasp… 1-1
Jan 11 Trabzonsp… vs Samsunspor 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Trabzonspor in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
  • Samsunspor struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 11, 2024 Trabzonspor 2 - 1 Samsunspor SĂĽper Lig
Dec 21, 2022 Trabzonspor 3 - 0 Samsunspor Cup
Aug 29, 2020 Samsunspor 2 - 1 Trabzonspor Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Samsunspor Power 0
Trabzonspor Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Samsunspor Position

-4

Position Gap

3

Trabzonspor Position

Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.