AI Match Insights
SĂĽper Lig May 04, 2024
Samsunspor
HomeVS
16:00
Trabzonspor
AwayAI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Samsunspor Win
Draw
Trabzonspor Win
Away Win
(44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
Combined: 43%
Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.77 - 1.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.2
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Samsunspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Trabzonspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
1-2 (7%)
0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
Samsunspor Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27 | Samsunspor vs Antalyasp… | 1-0 |
| Apr 27 | Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Samsunspor vs İstanbul … | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Samsunspor vs Pendikspor | 4-1 |
| Feb 07 | Samsunspor vs Antalyasp… | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | Samsunspor vs Fatih Kar… | 2-1 |
| Feb 02 | Samsunspor vs Galatasar… | 0-2 |
| Jan 21 | Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Samsunspor vs Keçiöreng… | 3-2 |
| Jan 17 | Samsunspor vs Antalyasp… | 1-3 |
Trabzonspor Form 20.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28 | Trabzonsp… vs Gazişehir… | 4-2 |
| Apr 24 | Trabzonsp… vs Fatih Kar… | 3-2 |
| Apr 03 | Trabzonsp… vs Antalyasp… | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Trabzonsp… vs İstanbul … | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Trabzonsp… vs Genclerbi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 04 | Trabzonsp… vs Besiktas | 2-0 |
| Jan 29 | Trabzonsp… vs Kasımpaşa | 2-3 |
| Jan 18 | Trabzonsp… vs Manisa FK | 3-1 |
| Jan 14 | Trabzonsp… vs Antalyasp… | 1-1 |
| Jan 11 | Trabzonsp… vs Samsunspor | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Trabzonspor in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
- Samsunspor struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | Trabzonspor | 2 - 1 | Samsunspor | SĂĽper Lig |
| Dec 21, 2022 | Trabzonspor | 3 - 0 | Samsunspor | Cup |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Samsunspor | 2 - 1 | Trabzonspor | Friendlies Clu… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Samsunspor Power
0
Trabzonspor Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
7
Samsunspor Position-4
Position Gap3
Trabzonspor Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.