AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1. Lig May 04, 2025

76 Iğdır Belediyespor

Home
VS
13:00

Kocaelispor FK

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
76 Iğdır Belediyespor Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Kocaelispor FK Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 4.50 - 0.73
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
76 Iğdır Belediyespor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Kocaelispor FK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (2%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
76 Iğdır Belediyespor Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 76 Iğdır … vs Erokspor 0-6
May 03 76 Iğdır … vs Buca FK 2-3
May 03 76 Iğdır … vs 76 Iğdır … 0-1
May 02 76 Iğdır … vs Hekimoğlu… 0-0
Apr 27 76 Iğdır … vs Menemen FK 2-0
Apr 27 76 Iğdır … vs 76 Iğdır … 5-0
Apr 27 76 Iğdır … vs Buca FK 1-4
Apr 27 76 Iğdır … vs Yeni Mala… 0-9
Apr 21 76 Iğdır … vs Antalyasp… 4-0
Apr 14 76 Iğdır … vs Bandırmas… 1-1
Kocaelispor FK Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 Kocaelisp… vs Altay 3-0
May 03 Kocaelisp… vs Antalyasp… 1-1
Apr 27 Kocaelisp… vs Batman Pe… 1-2
Apr 27 Kocaelisp… vs Boluspor 3-4
Apr 27 Kocaelisp… vs Rizespor 1-0
Apr 20 Kocaelisp… vs Fenerbahce 3-3
Apr 20 Kocaelisp… vs Erokspor 3-1
Apr 14 Kocaelisp… vs Yeni Mala… 7-1
Apr 10 Kocaelisp… vs Adana Dem… 1-4
Mar 16 Kocaelisp… vs Fatih Kar… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kocaelispor FK struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 30, 2023 Kocaelispor FK 1 - 0 76 Iğdır Belediyesp… 2. Lig
Nov 26, 2022 76 Iğdır Belediyesp… 2 - 2 Kocaelispor FK 2. Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: 76 Iğdır Belediyespor to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 90
76 Iğdır Belediyespor Power 0
Kocaelispor FK Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.