AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1. Lig May 04, 2025

Erokspor

Home
VS
13:00

İstanbulspor

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Erokspor Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
İstanbulspor Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 80%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.10 - 1.90
Key Insights
Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Erokspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
İstanbulspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Erokspor Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 Erokspor vs 76 Iğdır … 0-6
Apr 27 Erokspor vs Bandırmas… 1-0
Apr 20 Erokspor vs Kocaelisp… 3-1
Apr 14 Erokspor vs Rizespor 1-1
Apr 09 Erokspor vs Fatih Kar… 2-1
Apr 05 Erokspor vs Yeni Çoru… 3-3
Mar 09 Erokspor vs Elazığspor 3-1
Mar 05 Erokspor vs Keçiöreng… 2-2
Feb 23 Erokspor vs Pendikspor 2-2
Feb 16 Erokspor vs Erzurum BB 1-2
İstanbulspor Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 İstanbuls… vs Pendikspor 5-2
Apr 19 İstanbuls… vs Erzurum BB 1-2
Apr 12 İstanbuls… vs Keçiöreng… 0-2
Mar 06 İstanbuls… vs Antalyasp… 3-0
Feb 27 İstanbuls… vs Erzurum BB 0-3
Feb 06 İstanbuls… vs Kasımpaşa 2-0
Jan 19 İstanbuls… vs Manisa FK 0-1
Jan 09 İstanbuls… vs Gazişehir… 4-0
Dec 14 İstanbuls… vs Erzurum BB 3-2
Dec 08 İstanbuls… vs Keçiöreng… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • İstanbulspor in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Erokspor to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Erokspor Power 0
İstanbulspor Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Erokspor Position

+10

Position Gap

13

İstanbulspor Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.