AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1. Lig May 04, 2025

Manisa FK

Home
VS
13:00

Bandırmaspor

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Manisa FK Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Bandırmaspor Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.43 - 0.91
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.9
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Manisa FK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Bandırmaspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 2-0 (10%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Manisa FK Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Manisa FK vs Bandırmas… 1-3
Apr 18 Manisa FK vs Ankaragücü 2-1
Apr 05 Manisa FK vs Keçiöreng… 1-2
Mar 04 Manisa FK vs 76 Iğdır … 0-1
Jan 27 Manisa FK vs Antalyasp… 1-2
Jan 19 Manisa FK vs İstanbuls… 0-1
Jan 13 Manisa FK vs Rizespor 0-3
Nov 23 Manisa FK vs Keçiöreng… 4-0
Oct 20 Manisa FK vs 76 Iğdır … 1-0
Aug 17 Manisa FK vs Antalyasp… 2-2
Bandırmaspor Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Bandırmas… vs Manisa FK 1-3
Apr 27 Bandırmas… vs Erokspor 1-0
Apr 20 Bandırmas… vs Genclerbi… 1-1
Apr 19 Bandırmas… vs Pendikspor 0-2
Apr 14 Bandırmas… vs 76 Iğdır … 1-1
Mar 09 Bandırmas… vs Antalyasp… 2-2
Feb 12 Bandırmas… vs Amed 2-1
Jan 31 Bandırmas… vs Yeni Çoru… 4-0
Jan 18 Bandırmas… vs Erzurum BB 2-0
Jan 10 Bandırmas… vs Pendikspor 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Manisa FK in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 27, 2025 Bandırmaspor 1 - 3 Manisa FK 1. Lig
May 11, 2024 Bandırmaspor 2 - 0 Manisa FK 1. Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Manisa FK Power 0
Bandırmaspor Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Manisa FK Position

-5

Position Gap

7

Bandırmaspor Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.