AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1. Lig Apr 27, 2025

Bandırmaspor

Home
VS
13:00

Manisa FK

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Bandırmaspor Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Manisa FK Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.25 - 0.76
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.8 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bandırmaspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Manisa FK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Bandırmaspor Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Bandırmas… vs Genclerbi… 1-1
Apr 19 Bandırmas… vs Pendikspor 0-2
Apr 14 Bandırmas… vs 76 Iğdır … 1-1
Mar 09 Bandırmas… vs Antalyasp… 2-2
Feb 12 Bandırmas… vs Amed 2-1
Jan 31 Bandırmas… vs Yeni Çoru… 4-0
Jan 18 Bandırmas… vs Erzurum BB 2-0
Jan 10 Bandırmas… vs Pendikspor 1-1
Dec 22 Bandırmas… vs Erokspor 1-1
Dec 07 Bandırmas… vs 76 Iğdır … 0-1
Manisa FK Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 18 Manisa FK vs Ankaragücü 2-1
Apr 05 Manisa FK vs Keçiöreng… 1-2
Mar 04 Manisa FK vs 76 Iğdır … 0-1
Jan 27 Manisa FK vs Antalyasp… 1-2
Jan 19 Manisa FK vs İstanbuls… 0-1
Jan 13 Manisa FK vs Rizespor 0-3
Nov 23 Manisa FK vs Keçiöreng… 4-0
Oct 20 Manisa FK vs 76 Iğdır … 1-0
Aug 17 Manisa FK vs Antalyasp… 2-2
Aug 10 Manisa FK vs İstanbuls… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Manisa FK struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 11, 2024 Bandırmaspor 2 - 0 Manisa FK 1. Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bandırmaspor to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bandırmaspor Power 0
Manisa FK Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Bandırmaspor Position

+5

Position Gap

12

Manisa FK Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.