AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ekstraklasa May 04, 2025

Cracovia Krakow

Home
VS
12:45

Lechia Gdansk

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Cracovia Krakow Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Lechia Gdansk Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 3.79 - 1.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 1.3 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cracovia Krakow Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Lechia Gdansk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-0 (4%) 2-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Cracovia Krakow Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Cracovia … vs Motor Lub… 0-1
Apr 21 Cracovia … vs Lech Pozn… 2-1
Mar 08 Cracovia … vs Radomiak … 1-2
Feb 14 Cracovia … vs Korona Ki… 1-1
Nov 29 Cracovia … vs Zaglebie … 1-1
Nov 03 Cracovia … vs Lechia Gd… 1-2
Oct 26 Cracovia … vs Motor Lub… 6-2
Oct 19 Cracovia … vs Lech Pozn… 0-2
Aug 31 Cracovia … vs Radomiak … 2-1
Aug 10 Cracovia … vs Korona Ki… 0-2
Lechia Gdansk Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Lechia Gd… vs Piast Gli… 3-1
Apr 21 Lechia Gd… vs Legia War… 2-1
Mar 14 Lechia Gd… vs Radomiak … 2-1
Mar 09 Lechia Gd… vs Gornik Za… 1-2
Feb 09 Lechia Gd… vs Lech Pozn… 1-0
Nov 03 Lechia Gd… vs Cracovia … 1-2
Oct 18 Lechia Gd… vs Legia War… 0-2
Sep 14 Lechia Gd… vs Radomiak … 1-0
Sep 01 Lechia Gd… vs Gornik Za… 2-3
Aug 03 Lechia Gd… vs Lech Pozn… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lechia Gdansk struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 03, 2024 Lechia Gdansk 1 - 2 Cracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa
Apr 22, 2023 Lechia Gdansk 1 - 2 Cracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa
Oct 08, 2022 Cracovia Krakow 0 - 1 Lechia Gdansk Ekstraklasa
Feb 11, 2022 Cracovia Krakow 2 - 0 Lechia Gdansk Ekstraklasa
Aug 14, 2021 Lechia Gdansk 3 - 0 Cracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa
May 08, 2021 Lechia Gdansk 1 - 1 Cracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa
Dec 19, 2020 Cracovia Krakow 0 - 3 Lechia Gdansk Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2020 Cracovia Krakow 3 - 2 Lechia Gdansk Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cracovia Krakow to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cracovia Krakow Power 0
Lechia Gdansk Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Cracovia Krakow Position

+7

Position Gap

11

Lechia Gdansk Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.