AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga May 04, 2025

RB Salzburg

Home
VS
15:00

Austria Wien

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
RB Salzburg Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Austria Wien Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.06 - 0.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.8
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
RB Salzburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Austria Wien Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
RB Salzburg Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 RB Salzbu… vs Wolfsberg… 2-1
Apr 23 RB Salzbu… vs Wolfsberg… 1-1
Apr 20 RB Salzbu… vs Austria W… 1-3
Apr 13 RB Salzbu… vs Sturm Graz 1-2
Apr 06 RB Salzbu… vs FC BW Linz 2-1
Mar 16 RB Salzbu… vs Wolfsberg… 1-0
Mar 02 RB Salzbu… vs Sturm Graz 3-1
Feb 22 RB Salzbu… vs Austria W… 0-1
Feb 02 RB Salzbu… vs LASK Linz 2-1
Jan 29 RB Salzbu… vs Atlético … 1-4
Austria Wien Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 02 Austria W… vs Grazer AK 1-1
May 02 Austria W… vs SKU Amste… 0-1
Apr 27 Austria W… vs Sturm Graz 0-1
Apr 26 Austria W… vs LASK Linz 6-0
Apr 25 Austria W… vs Schwarz-W… 2-1
Apr 23 Austria W… vs Sturm Graz 2-1
Apr 22 Austria W… vs LASK Linz 1-4
Apr 21 Austria W… vs Ried 1-1
Apr 20 Austria W… vs RB Salzbu… 1-3
Apr 19 Austria W… vs Grazer AK 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Austria Wien in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 20, 2025 Austria Wien 1 - 3 RB Salzburg Bundesliga
Feb 22, 2025 Austria Wien 0 - 1 RB Salzburg Bundesliga
Sep 28, 2024 RB Salzburg 2 - 0 Austria Wien Bundesliga
Apr 24, 2024 Austria Wien 4 - 3 RB Salzburg Bundesliga
Apr 21, 2024 RB Salzburg 4 - 2 Austria Wien Bundesliga
Nov 12, 2023 Austria Wien 0 - 0 RB Salzburg Bundesliga
Aug 13, 2023 RB Salzburg 2 - 0 Austria Wien Bundesliga
Jun 03, 2023 Austria Wien 1 - 1 RB Salzburg Bundesliga
Apr 09, 2023 RB Salzburg 3 - 3 Austria Wien Bundesliga
Oct 16, 2022 Austria Wien 1 - 3 RB Salzburg Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: RB Salzburg to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
RB Salzburg Power 0
Austria Wien Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

RB Salzburg Position

+4

Position Gap

5

Austria Wien Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.