AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League May 15, 2025

Servette FC

Home
VS
18:30

FC Lugano

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Servette FC Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
FC Lugano Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.80 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Servette FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
FC Lugano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (37%) 1-0 (29%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Under 2.5 Goals 92%
Servette FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 11 Servette … vs BSC Young… 0-0
May 04 Servette … vs FC Basel … 5-1
Apr 21 Servette … vs FC Luzern 2-1
Apr 13 Servette … vs FC Sion 1-1
Apr 06 Servette … vs FC St. Ga… 1-0
Apr 01 Servette … vs BSC Young… 0-1
Mar 29 Servette … vs FC Lugano 0-2
Mar 09 Servette … vs FC Zurich 1-3
Mar 01 Servette … vs Lausanne 0-1
Feb 16 Servette … vs Grasshopp… 1-2
FC Lugano Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 FC Lugano vs FC Basel … 2-5
May 04 FC Lugano vs FC Luzern 0-2
Apr 21 FC Lugano vs Lausanne 2-0
Apr 13 FC Lugano vs FC St. Ga… 1-1
Apr 06 FC Lugano vs FC Basel … 2-0
Mar 29 FC Lugano vs Servette … 0-2
Mar 16 FC Lugano vs FC Winter… 2-1
Mar 09 FC Lugano vs FC Sion 2-1
Mar 02 FC Lugano vs FC Zurich 0-3
Feb 26 FC Lugano vs Biel-Bien… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Lugano struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 29, 2025 FC Lugano 0 - 2 Servette FC Super League
Dec 01, 2024 Servette FC 3 - 0 FC Lugano Super League
Aug 03, 2024 FC Lugano 3 - 1 Servette FC Super League
Jun 02, 2024 Servette FC 0 - 0 FC Lugano Schweizer Pokal
May 25, 2024 FC Lugano 0 - 2 Servette FC Super League
Feb 18, 2024 Servette FC 2 - 1 FC Lugano Super League
Dec 17, 2023 Servette FC 2 - 2 FC Lugano Super League
Oct 08, 2023 FC Lugano 0 - 1 Servette FC Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Servette FC Power 0
FC Lugano Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Servette FC Position

-6

Position Gap

2

FC Lugano Position
Home Win Rate: 18%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.