AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League May 25, 2024

FC Lugano

Home
VS
18:30

Servette FC

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
FC Lugano Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Servette FC Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.10 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.5 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Lugano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Servette FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
FC Lugano Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 20 FC Lugano vs FC Zurich 2-1
May 16 FC Lugano vs FC Winter… 4-2
May 11 FC Lugano vs BSC Young… 0-1
May 04 FC Lugano vs FC St. Ga… 0-1
Apr 27 FC Lugano vs FC Sion 0-2
Apr 20 FC Lugano vs Lausanne 2-0
Apr 13 FC Lugano vs Grasshopp… 0-1
Apr 06 FC Lugano vs FC Winter… 2-2
Apr 02 FC Lugano vs FC Basel … 2-0
Mar 09 FC Lugano vs FC St. Ga… 2-3
Servette FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 20 Servette … vs BSC Young… 0-1
May 15 Servette … vs FC Zurich 2-1
May 12 Servette … vs FC St. Ga… 1-1
May 04 Servette … vs FC Winter… 2-1
Apr 28 Servette … vs FC Winter… 0-1
Apr 20 Servette … vs Grasshopp… 1-0
Apr 14 Servette … vs FC Basel … 2-1
Apr 06 Servette … vs FC Zurich 0-1
Mar 17 Servette … vs FC Luzern 2-2
Mar 10 Servette … vs Lausanne 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Lugano in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 18, 2024 Servette FC 2 - 1 FC Lugano Super League
Dec 17, 2023 Servette FC 2 - 2 FC Lugano Super League
Oct 08, 2023 FC Lugano 0 - 1 Servette FC Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Lugano to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Lugano Power 0
Servette FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

FC Lugano Position

+6

Position Gap

8

Servette FC Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.